What MannaFest holds
Yes — both are true, and MannaFest holds them together in the Wesleyan-Arminian way. God is completely sovereign, and part of what his sovereignty has established is genuine creaturely freedom. He did not lose control by making creatures who can say no; he decided to make them. Grace comes first and always — no one seeks God on their own — but that grace can be resisted, and God's knowing what you will choose is not the same as his making you choose it.
God says plainly what he wants: he desires all people to be saved and to come to the knowledge of the truth; he is not willing that any should perish; he takes no pleasure in the death of the wicked. MannaFest reads those statements as meaning what they say.
Scripture is full of God grieving over refusals. Jerusalem, Jerusalem — how often I wanted to gather your children, and you were not willing. You always resist the Holy Spirit. They rejected the purpose of God for themselves. If every refusal were itself decreed, these texts describe God grieving at his own decision.
Prevenient grace is the hinge, and it is why this is not a doctrine of human self-improvement. Fallen people cannot come to God on their own — dead is dead. But Christ, lifted up, draws all people; the grace of God has appeared bringing salvation to all; the Spirit convicts the world. God takes the first step toward everyone, and that step restores enough freedom to say yes or no. The credit for the yes is entirely God's; the responsibility for the no is entirely ours.
Foreknowledge is not causation. A weather forecaster who correctly predicts a storm did not cause the storm; a mother who knows exactly what her son will do at the sight of a cookie did not make him do it. God's knowledge is infinitely greater than either, and infallible — but knowing is not the same act as decreeing.
Security is conditional, and Scripture speaks that way: continue in his kindness, otherwise you will be cut off. Branches are broken off for unbelief. This is not a doctrine of anxiety — it is the seriousness of a real relationship, which can be abandoned precisely because it is real.
Reformed — God chooses, and his choosing is what saves
Augustine in his later anti-Pelagian writings; John Calvin (Institutes III.21-24); the Synod of Dort (1618-19); the Westminster Confession, chapter III; John Owen; Jonathan Edwards (Freedom of the Will); Charles Spurgeon; in our own time R. C. Sproul (Chosen by God) and John Piper (The Justification of God).
Fallen humanity is not merely weakened but spiritually dead and unable to choose God. Therefore God, before the foundation of the world and on the basis of nothing in the creature, chose a people; Christ died to secure their salvation; and the Spirit brings them, infallibly and willingly, to faith. Grace that can finally be refused is grace that does not save anyone; salvation is God's work from first to last, and the elect persevere because God preserves them.
- Romans 9 is written as if to head off exactly the Arminian reading. The twins had done nothing good or bad, so that God's purpose of election might stand — not because of works but because of him who calls. He has mercy on whom he wills and hardens whom he wills. Paul then raises the objection any reader would raise — 'why does he still find fault?' — and answers not by softening the doctrine but by rebuking the questioner. That is a hard fact for our side.
- Ephesians 1 says he chose us in him before the foundation of the world, predestined according to the purpose of his will, working all things according to the counsel of his will. The stress falls relentlessly on God's will, not the creature's.
- The chain in Romans 8 has no leakage: those he foreknew he predestined, those he predestined he called, those he called he justified, those he justified he glorified. The same group makes it all the way through.
- Jesus says no one can come to me unless the Father draws him, and all that the Father gives me will come to me. Not may come. Will.
- Dead men do not cooperate. Ephesians 2 says we were dead in trespasses — and being made alive is something done to a corpse, not agreed to by one.
- It has the deepest pastoral logic of all the options: if my salvation finally rests on my grip on God, I am in serious trouble. If it rests on his grip on me, I am safe.
The honest difficulty: The other side of unconditional election is that God passes by the rest, and the tenderest Reformed writers have never made that comfortable. It requires reading 'God desires all to be saved' and 'not willing that any should perish' in restricted senses, and it must explain how the universal offer of the gospel is sincere if the ability to accept it is withheld. Calvin himself called reprobation a dreadful decree.
Molinism — God knows what free creatures would do
Luis de Molina (Concordia, 1588); Francisco Suárez; today William Lane Craig and Kenneth Keathley (Salvation and Sovereignty).
Between God's knowledge of everything possible and his knowledge of everything actual stands 'middle knowledge': God knows what any free creature would freely do in any circumstance. He then chooses which world to actualize. So God ordains all of history in full detail, and every human choice in it is genuinely free.
- It claims both halves without softening either — full meticulous providence and full libertarian freedom — which is what most Christians actually believe when they pray.
- There is biblical footing for the required kind of knowledge: God tells David what the men of Keilah would do if he stayed, and David leaves, so they never do it. Jesus says Tyre and Sidon would have repented if they had seen these works.
- It gives an elegant account of prophecy and of God's providence over free evil acts without making God the author of them.
The honest difficulty: The unsolved question is where these truths come from. If it is true that a particular person would freely accept in a particular circumstance, what makes it true — before God creates anyone? Both Reformed and Arminian critics press this 'grounding objection,' and Molinists concede it is the hard spot.
Open theism — the future is partly open even to God
Clark Pinnock, Richard Rice, John Sanders, William Hasker, and Gregory Boyd (God of the Possible).
God knows everything that can be known, but future free choices are not yet anything to be known. God is a real partner in an unfolding story: he takes risks, responds, changes his stated plans, and genuinely grieves.
- It reads the narrative texts at face value, and there are more of them than people expect. God says 'now I know that you fear me.' He relents from disaster at Nineveh. He tells Jeremiah that if a nation turns, he will relent. He expresses that Israel did something 'which I did not command, nor did it come into my mind.'
- It takes prayer and intercession with total seriousness — Moses argues God out of a stated intention, and the text presents that as real.
- It offers the cleanest answer on evil: God did not plan the atrocity, and did not want it, in any sense.
The honest difficulty: MannaFest declines it, and the reason is decisive for a site that takes prophecy seriously. God stakes his uniqueness on exactly this: I declare the end from the beginning, and things not yet done. He names Cyrus a century and a half before Cyrus is born. Daniel's sequence of empires, the timing in Daniel 9, the details of the crucifixion in Psalm 22 and Isaiah 53 — all of this requires knowing free human choices in advance. The narrative texts open theism leans on are better read as covenant language, God's stated intentions being genuinely conditional on response, which is a category Jeremiah 18 supplies explicitly. Arminianism does not need open theism, and classical Arminians from Arminius onward have affirmed exhaustive foreknowledge.